Is it possible to apply predictive analysis or general -studious -observational analysis in understanding which countries may fall foul – next – to western attempts of regime change and within what timeline?
This article argues it is very much possible – though one must appreciate the complexities of predicting international behaviour as influenced essentially by rather complex and inter-related multi-factors from local, regional to international – by focusing on single key indicator: on the degree of the penetration of the westernisation of native cultures. This I called the Fanonian Paradox.
For the present discussion lets limit ourselves and our analysis to most recent global events or rather – without playing for words – western attempts of either total regime change locally against their competitiors, or aimed appropriately at limiting regional powers and influence of local competitors, or finally encircling (or what western analysts refer to as ‘containment ‘) their local competitors.
Perhaps most recent we can start with the case of Hong Kong, Ukraine, Turkey and of course the so-called ‘Arab Spring’ (list limited to major events, excluding Argentina, Venezuela etc). So the key question here is why are these events – and significantly countries or regions – proved more vulnerable to western interferences (direct or indirect)? The answer of course is found on analysing and studying the degree of westernisation of these local regions/societies.
Fanon on his famous work The Wretched of The Earth stated and defined excellently the problem – here I refer to as Fanonian Paradox – that old western colonies who have fought bravely to rid western militarised imperialism and colonialism within their societies could never ever dream of completely freeing themselves from their western colonial masters dominance (real or imagined) without sanitizing their societies and ways of life completely free of their western masters cultural infuences (or ”values” or ”ideals”).
Today, I can state, with strongest confidence, that if one wishes to understand which regions, societies, people, countries or governments will be highly vulnerbale to successful western interference one need to observe the degree of the westernisation of local cultures, people, regions, behaviour and ways of clothing. It is the last which can indicate clearly and easily if this, degree of westenrisation, is higher than the rest of the world or neighbouring regions and the vulnerability of such a state or society to falling foul, again, to western prey. In other words, look at how people dress, from those in government to those in streets, the more these resembles western ways of clothing the more likely that these societies will be much more vulnerbale to successful western interference and regime changes because the local people have already been conditioned into westernised way of life or thinking, or in other words accepting western primacy of their lives and rule.
Thus, pride on ones cultural identity is highly important in putting up a barrier to not only stopping the possibility of the conditioning of your people and societies or countries and governments but also in avoiding falling foul – easily and again – to foreign enemies influences and dominance. In other words, for the old western colonies the advice is this, to totally free oneselves from your old western imperial and colonial past one must also shed – literary – ones western clothes (suits, ways of wearing ones hair etc). The symbolic power of these western tools of dominance is very very important in conditioning local mentality and behaviour towards their (ones local people, government and general society) relationship (and trust) with their rulers (governments, elected representatives etc), and thus make these local groups easy prey to western masters hypnotic-like state of mind-controlling; that is, literary, reduced to a zombie state without any working cognitive faculties. Or to put it succintly, once these people are reduced to zombie-like mentality all is left is for them to await their controllers/masters trigger words, and once they hear carefully-invented words such as ‘freedom’, ‘democracy’ and other ‘invented concepts of control and dominance’, and like a trigger words from an hypnotist to their subjects, they tacitly and obediently do their master’s bidding. This is why so called ‘successful Arab Spring’ countries are all, when studied and observed, well-westernised from their education, clothing, entertainment taste, free time activities and so forth, and those still in limbo have had successful partial resistance to westernisation (literary battling the evil of the west in rubbing out their civilisational identities). This means societies such as China, Russia, Venezuela and few Arab nations, and sadly many African and Latin plus Asiatic states will never cease to be highly vulnerable to western intervention and interference – that is, dominance ala neo-colonialism – unless these states start passing local enforceable laws that demand the re-nativisation of local cultures/societies from clothing, entertainment taste, societal expected standard of behaviour and values and norms all of which must be easily distinguishable from their western cunterpart. This is the way to truly free oneself from western colonialism, dominance and interferences.